This macro-market analysis is based on the fact that I (@mifseeThis is a record of my personal study to gain a bird's eye view of the daily macro environment when making investment decisions in the U.S. market. The contents may contain errors or differences from the actual situation. Please be aware of this before reading this report.
Notable Rising Issues (from watch list)
Watch List (based on closing price on 09/23/2025)
| name of a or the Buddha | closing price (stock exchange, etc.) | volatility | theme | insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBAI (Big Bear AI) | 7.99 | +12.85% | AI Analysis & Government | Expectations of demand for national defense due to the announcement of SMX linkage for the U.S. Navy |
| ASTS (AST Space Mobile) | 54.80 | +12.18% | Satellite Communications and Satellite Cellular | Mixed target revision and speculative buying on surging volume |
| USAR (US Air Rare Earths) | 17.85 | +11.01% | critical mineral | Adoption of S&P Global BMI and speculation on magnet factory progress |
| RGTI (Righetti Computing) | 31.46 | +10.89% | quantum computing | B. Riley raised target to $35 |
| TMC (TMC the Metals) | 6.32 | +9.53% | Undersea Mining and Nickel | None in particular. Resource Theme |
| MOB (Mobilicom) | 8.86 | +8.71% | Drone Communications and National Defense | Lingering Tier 1 Defense Order Increase |
| ONDS (Ondus Holdings, Inc.) | 7.88 | +8.54% | Communication for drones and robots | Retired U.S. Army Major General's Appointment as Advisor Announced |
| PL (Planet Labs) | 12.05 | +8.46% | Satellite Data & Earth Observation | Momentum continues after 2Q results |
| QBTS (D-Wave Quantum) | 27.52 | +7.21% | quantum annealing | B. Riley raised target to $33 and continues to be in the quantum market |
| UUUU (Energy Fuels) | 16.67 | +7.06% | Uranium mining and smelting | Sector Comparison Article Exposure Continues to Focus on Nuclear Energy |
| RKLB (Rocket Lab) | 52.91 | +6.22% | Space Transportation and Small Rocket | ESCAPADE aircraft delivery to NASA reported and target raised |
| SOUN (Sound Hound AI) | 18.05 | +4.27% | Voice AI and Conversation Agents | Announced the introduction of telephone ordering AI for Red Lobster |
personal impression
Quantum, Space and Defense remain strong.
Raise RGTI and QBTS targetsandBBAI's naval projectsContinued high-beta thematic hunting, starting with the
The nuclear and natural resources side isObservation of USAR index adoptionandUUUU comparative article exposureand support, the universe isNASA case progress in RKLBThe associations expand in
While the indexes are struggling for higher prices,News Freshness x Technical SequencingThe individual initiative of the company continues.
There is a movement to wait for a push, and while I feel that negative news may be a trigger to close hands, my impression is that a balance is required in the market.
market insight
Analysis Date] 2025/09/23
general mood
U.S. stocks areTech-led selloffThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq paused in their continued growth trend, and the Dow was also slightly lower atGassing at High Pricesphase.
Europe.STOXX600 rebounded.Resources and defensives are supporting in theintersectoral tug-of-waraspect.
Japan.Closed on Autumnal Equinox DayWe will continue to assess the persistence of risk appetite led by overseas investors.wait-and-see moodThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Interest rates areU.S. 10-year slight declineGermany sideways, Japan sideways.Slight revision of position after the eventThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
The exchange rate issmall rebound in the dollar(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionLow Bore RangeThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Commodities areWTI falls back, gold remains high(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionSupply-demand and macroeconomic antagonismThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Crypto assets aredirection limited(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionevent bora peel-off processThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
equity
| index | closing price (stock exchange, etc.) | compared to previous day | background |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dow (i.e. Dow-Jones) | 46,292.78 | -88.76 (-0.19%) | Sorting out overheating after the rate cut passed |
| S&P 500 | 6,656.92 | -36.83 (-0.55%) | Megatech falls backand valuation adjustments |
| National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations | 22,573.47 | -215.50 (-0.95%) | Semiconductors and high-beta gains |
| Nikkei 225 | - | +0.00 (+0.00%) | Closed on Autumnal Equinox Day |
| STOXX600 | 554.95 | +1.55 (+0.28%) | Resources & DefensiveRaising the level of |
bond
| home (i.e. hometown, home country) | 10-year yield | Change from previous day (bp) | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States of America | 4.12 % | -3 | Duration regression after the event |
| Germany | 2.74 % | 0 | Neutral range waiting for data |
| Japan | 1.60 % | 0 | See what happens after the meeting passes |
exchange (e.g. foreign)
- usd/jpy 146.60 (+0.13%): U.S. interest rates on a small rebounddollar repurchaseThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- EUR/USD 1.1800 (-0.04%): Material difficulties inthe market trend in the near futureThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- usd/cny 7.1110 (-0.03%): under the mid-value operationMaintain low volatilityThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
commodity
| list of articles | closing price (stock exchange, etc.) | compared to previous day | driver (of a vehicle) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI crude oil | $62.55/bbl | -0.24% | Waiting for inventory speculation and economic indicatorsupward price control |
| Brent Crude Oil | $67.10/bbl | -0.22% | Macro Uncertainty and Dollar Trendsplus and minus equal zero |
| natural gas | $3.12/MMBtu | +0.65% | of supply and demand in recent monthsTitration Observation |
| Gold (physical) | $3,690.00/oz | +0.22% | Real Interest Rates Sideways Belowmaintaining a high price range |
| silver | $42.60/oz | +0.24% | Gold-linked and industrial demand expectationsfollow |
| copper | $4.71000/lb | +0.11% | Waiting for China Headlinesautonomous rebellion |
crypto
- Bitcoin $116,300.00 (-0.13%): After the eventLifting Height AdjustmentThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- Ethereum $4,515.00 (-0.11%): Material difficulties inRange TransitionThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Macro event focus (next 3-4 business days)
- 2025/09/24 (Wed) U.S. - New Home Sales (Aug): After the decline in housing interest rateselasticity of demandThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- 2025/09/25 (Thu) IFO Business Sentiment, Germany (September)ManufacturingConfirmation of bottoming outThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- 2025/09/26 (Fri) U.S. PCE Deflator (Aug): of service inflation.viscosityThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- 2025/09/27 (Sat) China - Industrial Profit (Aug): of manufacturing margins.Degree of improvementThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Insight Summary
- U.S. large growth lullbased onDiversification and hedging thickerIt is safe to continue the
- Europe Defensive and Resources(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionShort-term relative strength rotationlooks good
- Duration neutral to slightly long(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionmeeting place for assignations, drinking, etc.is reasonable
- Dollar Small Rebound RangeUnder.Buy EUR phase, USD/JPY reverseis safe
- Sell oil back and buy gold, ,Copper thinned exposureslooks good
- Cryptolite Light(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionPost-event range supportis safe
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