This macro-market analysis is based on the fact that I (@mifseeThis is a record of my personal study to gain a bird's eye view of the daily macro environment when making investment decisions in the U.S. market. The contents may contain errors or differences from the actual situation. Please be aware of this before reading this report.
Notable Rising Issues (from watch list)
Watch List (based on closing price on 09/24/2025)
| name of a or the Buddha | closing price (stock exchange, etc.) | volatility | theme | insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC (Lithium Americas) | 6.01 | +95.77% | Lithium Development | Sector surges on reports of U.S. government investment considerations |
| CLPT (Clearpoint Neuro) | 19.28 | +58.55% | Neurosurgery Navigation and Medical Equipment | Expanded FDA approval coverage of major products |
| IONR (Ionia) | 4.41 | +24.93% | Lithium and boron development | DOE loan approval and sector associations |
| SLI (Standard Lithium) | 3.46 | +20.14% | direct-extract lithium | Ripple Effect of LAC Investment Reporting |
| SMTK (Smart Chem) | 1.91 | +18.63% | Organic TFT and Micro LED Materials | Nothing in particular. Theme hunting? |
| FLUX (Flux Power) | 3.31 | +16.55% | Industrial Lithium Battery | Continued momentum in year-end earnings valuation |
| LTRN (Lantern Pharma) | 4.58 | +12.53% | AI Drug Discovery and Anticancer Drugs | LP-184 Phase 1 lingering results of achieving primary endpoints |
| MRVL (Marvel Technology) | 80.09 | +7.33% | Communication and AI Semiconductors | Announced $5 billion in new share buybacks |
| NBIS (Nevius Group) | 113.23 | +5.04% | AI Cloud Data Center | Upgrades and target increases after large Microsoft contracts |
personal impression
Lithium-relatedPolicy-driven simultaneous highIONR and SLI Spillover to IONR and SLI, starting with reports of the U.S. government's consideration of investing in LACsector associative quotationThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
On the other hand,AI Infrastructureis the NBIS'sUpgraded/target raisedIn semiconductors, MRVL'slarge-scale stock buy-backpushed up supply and demand.
The medical and battery area is the CLPT'sFDA approval expandedand Flux.earnings momentumContinued to seek for goods in the
General,Policy Headlines x Capital Policy x Financial Results AftermathThree factors are concurrently at work.
Although news-linked, small-cap and low-cap stocks have been moving wildly, and I feel tired of buying them. As the indexes are calming down, we are also balancing our cash ratio with partial gains.
market insight
Analysis Date] 2025/09/24
general mood
U.S. stocks areTech-led selloffThe major indices were all slightly lower at the event.venting one's gas at a high priceand long-term interest rates flat.valuation adjustmentshades of. Europe isSTOXX600 small dropHeavy upside in economic sensitivities, resources and defensives in theforward puller (of a rickshaw)Japan Japan.Nikkei 225 continues to riseThe firmness of the external environment and the yen's weakness in theReevaluation of Performance MomentumThe Interest rates areU.S. slightly higher, Germany flat, JGB slightly higher(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionSlight positional adjustmentThe exchange rate The exchange rate isDollar slightly rebounding, Euro slightly falling, Yuan stable(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionLow Bore RangeCommodities are the most important part of the Commodities are.WTI continued to fall and gold fell slightly(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionSupply-demand and macroeconomic antagonismThe crypto asset is a Crypto assets aredirectionless holding(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionevent bora pareThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
equity
| index | closing price (stock exchange, etc.) | compared to previous day | background |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dow (i.e. Dow-Jones) | 46,223.98 | -68.80 (-0.15%) | Gains ahead and slowing return of economic sensitivities |
| S&P 500 | 6,638.25 | -18.67 (-0.28%) | Megatech falls backand valuation arrangement |
| National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations | 22,478.10 | -95.37 (-0.42%) | Semiconductors, high-betaGains predominance of |
| Nikkei 225 | 45,653.50 | +159.84 (+0.35%) | Weak Yen andArbitrage buying by foreign investors |
| STOXX600 | 553.84 | -1.11 (-0.20%) | Heavyweight in auto and financial sectors andResources & Defensiveunderpinning of |
bond
| home (i.e. hometown, home country) | 10-year yield | Change from previous day (bp) | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States of America | 4.13 % | +1 | Waiting for indicatorscontinuing at a high level |
| Germany | 2.74 % | 0 | neutral rangecontinuation |
| Japan | 1.61 % | +1 | After passing bids and meetingsInterest Rate Observation Factoring |
exchange (e.g. foreign)
- usd/jpy 146.80 (+0.14%): U.S. interest rates remain highdollar repurchaseThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- EUR/USD 1.1785 (-0.13%): Material difficulties incorrespondenceand a small rebound in the dollar.
- usd/cny 7.1080 (-0.04%): under the mid-value operationMaintain low volatilityThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
commodity
| list of articles | closing price (stock exchange, etc.) | compared to previous day | driver (of a vehicle) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI crude oil | $62.30/bbl | -0.40% | Inventory speculation and demand uncertaintyupward price control |
| Brent Crude Oil | $66.95/bbl | -0.22% | Macro Uncertainty and Dollar Trendsplus and minus equal zero |
| natural gas | $3.09/MMBtu | -0.96% | of supply and demand in recent monthslull |
| Gold (physical) | $3,685.00/oz | -0.14% | Real interest rate unchangedstruggle to the high (stock market, etc.) |
| silver | $42.40/oz | -0.47% | gold-linked(stock market) slump |
| copper | $4.70200/lb | -0.17% | Waiting for China Headlinescorrespondence |
crypto
- Bitcoin $116,000.00 (-0.26%): After the eventLifting Height AdjustmentThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- Ethereum $4,500.00 (-0.33%): Material difficulties inRange TransitionThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Macro event focus (next 3-4 business days)
- 2025/09/25 (Thu) IFO Business Sentiment, Germany (September)ManufacturingConfirmation of bottoming outThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- 2025/09/26 (Fri) U.S. PCE Deflator (Aug): of service inflation.viscosityThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- 2025/09/27 (Sat) China - Industrial Profit (Aug): of manufacturing margins.Degree of improvementThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
- 2025/09/30 (Tue) U.S. Consumer Confidence (Sep): Labor Market Indicatorsreluctance to admit being wrongThe following is a list of the most common problems with the "C" in the "C" column.
Insight Summary
- U.S. large growth lullbased onDiversification and hedging thickerIt is safe to continue the
- Japanese stocks rotate cash waiting for a pushandSector diversificationlooks good
- Duration neutral to slightly long(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionmeeting place for assignations, drinking, etc.is reasonable
- Dollar Small Rebound RangeUnder.Buy EUR phase, USD/JPY reverseis safe
- Sell oil back and buy gold, ,Copper thinned exposureslooks good
- Cryptolite Light(at sentence-end, falling tone) indicates a confident conclusionPost-event range supportis safe
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