market analysis

On July 18, 2025, U.S. stocks paused at their highs, long-term interest rates fell, and the dollar was limitedly weak. Europe is flat, Japanese stocks fall back on election caution. Funds turn to tech and energy, oil rises and gold flat. Quiet risk-on mood continues.

U.S. retail sales and unemployment insurance declines support the economy, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ at consecutive highs. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.50% but the dollar pauses, WTI surges to $67 on supply concerns, and gold falls to $3,345. High tech and energy prices support selective risk-on.

On July 16, 2025, after a wild sell-off on reports of Powell's dismissal, the market bounced back and the NASDAQ hit new highs. Dow 44,254, S&P 500 6,264; US 10yr Treasuries drop to 4.46% and near ¥149/US dollar. Gold at $3,355 and WTI at $66.65. High-tech supported the market despite policy uncertainty.

On July 14, 2025, the S&P 500 +0.14% and NASDAQ +0.27% are higher. U.S. 10-year Treasury yield at 4.43% and the dollar at 147.77. Crude oil at $66/bbl, copper remains high, gold slightly lower. Selective risk-on market with U.S. tech and resources supporting the market even under tariff watch.

On July 14, 2025, the S&P 500 +0.14% and NASDAQ +0.27% are higher. U.S. 10-year Treasury yield at 4.43% and the dollar at 147.77. Crude oil at $66/bbl, copper remains high, gold slightly lower. Selective risk-on market with U.S. tech and resources supporting the market even under tariff watch.

U.S. stocks rose to a new NASDAQ high and the S&P 500 continued to rise. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose slightly to 4.36%, the dollar remained strong at 146 yen per dollar, WTI crude was down 2%, gold rose, and funds were selectively flowing into large tech and resource stocks.

U.S. stocks rose to a new NASDAQ high and the S&P 500 continued to rise. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose slightly to 4.36%, the dollar remained strong at 146 yen per dollar, WTI crude was down 2%, gold rose, and funds were selectively flowing into large tech and resource stocks.

On July 9, 025, US stocks rebounded with the Dow +0.49% and S&P 500 +0.61%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.34% and the dollar was at 146 yen. Crude oil is slightly lower while copper is at an all-time high on tariff speculation. Risk-on resumes, but tariff risk remains a key concern.

On July 8, 025, the Dow was down 0.37% due to tariff risks, the S&P was slightly lower, and the NASDAQ was slightly higher. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.42% and the dollar was at 146 yen. Copper hit new highs and crude oil rebounded. Money is heading toward resources and European stocks, with a mixture of caution and resilience in the market.

On July 7, 2025, the dollar strengthened as the S&P 500 fell back to 6,229 on the Trump administration's new tariffs; bond buying was limited at 4.33% for 10-year Treasuries; oil bounced back against OPEC+ production increase. Overall, resource prices underpinned the market while tilting toward risk-off.