market analysis

U.S. retail sales and unemployment insurance declines support the economy, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ at consecutive highs. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.50% but the dollar pauses, WTI surges to $67 on supply concerns, and gold falls to $3,345. High tech and energy prices support selective risk-on.

On July 16, 2025, after a wild sell-off on reports of Powell's dismissal, the market bounced back and the NASDAQ hit new highs. Dow 44,254, S&P 500 6,264; US 10yr Treasuries drop to 4.46% and near ¥149/US dollar. Gold at $3,355 and WTI at $66.65. High-tech supported the market despite policy uncertainty.

On July 14, 2025, the S&P 500 +0.14% and NASDAQ +0.27% are higher. U.S. 10-year Treasury yield at 4.43% and the dollar at 147.77. Crude oil at $66/bbl, copper remains high, gold slightly lower. Selective risk-on market with U.S. tech and resources supporting the market even under tariff watch.

On July 14, 2025, the S&P 500 +0.14% and NASDAQ +0.27% are higher. U.S. 10-year Treasury yield at 4.43% and the dollar at 147.77. Crude oil at $66/bbl, copper remains high, gold slightly lower. Selective risk-on market with U.S. tech and resources supporting the market even under tariff watch.

U.S. stocks rose to a new NASDAQ high and the S&P 500 continued to rise. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose slightly to 4.36%, the dollar remained strong at 146 yen per dollar, WTI crude was down 2%, gold rose, and funds were selectively flowing into large tech and resource stocks.

U.S. stocks rose to a new NASDAQ high and the S&P 500 continued to rise. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose slightly to 4.36%, the dollar remained strong at 146 yen per dollar, WTI crude was down 2%, gold rose, and funds were selectively flowing into large tech and resource stocks.

On July 9, 025, US stocks rebounded with the Dow +0.49% and S&P 500 +0.61%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.34% and the dollar was at 146 yen. Crude oil is slightly lower while copper is at an all-time high on tariff speculation. Risk-on resumes, but tariff risk remains a key concern.

On July 8, 025, the Dow was down 0.37% due to tariff risks, the S&P was slightly lower, and the NASDAQ was slightly higher. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.42% and the dollar was at 146 yen. Copper hit new highs and crude oil rebounded. Money is heading toward resources and European stocks, with a mixture of caution and resilience in the market.

On July 7, 2025, the dollar strengthened as the S&P 500 fell back to 6,229 on the Trump administration's new tariffs; bond buying was limited at 4.33% for 10-year Treasuries; oil bounced back against OPEC+ production increase. Overall, resource prices underpinned the market while tilting toward risk-off.

In a shortened week before U.S. Independence Day, the tech-driven S&P 500 hit a record high. While dollar weakness paused, long-term interest rates diverged between the U.S.↑Europe and the U.S.↓Europe, and crude oil and metals rebounded. While the selective risk-on trend continued, the yen continued to fall to the 144-yen level.